The D’Alembert System is known for its simplicity and is probably the second most popular gambling system after the Martingale. They both have some similarities due to them being negative progressions and require raising the stakes when losing and lowering them when winning.
However, the increase is more gradual with this system than with the Martingale, so it’s unlikely that the stakes will get too big for you. That can be both positive and negative because you have to spend more time recovering losses. Overall, there is a greater chance of you losing, but the amount you will lose won’t be cataclysmic, even if you enter a bad patch.
In this article, you will find our in-depth review of this betting system, advise on how to start using it, and whether it actually works or not.
How to use the D’Alembert System
The system is named after the French mathematician and physicist Jean-Baptiste le Rond d’Alembert who believed that it’s more likely for a coin to land heads after each time it lands tails. That is also known as the gambler’s fallacy and exemplifies the belief that an outcome’s probability had changed when, in fact, it didn’t. Many punters believed this theory and lost significant amounts of money.
The D’Alembert system is mostly used when making even money bets on games such as roulette and others. The reason for that is because people believe that you win and lose the same number of times when making even money bets. If we transfer this to the roulette game, it means that the wheel will land on red approximately the same number of times as it will on black during an average session.
Here are some of the key point you must remember before using the system:
- You should have a set amount of money for this, but we would advise not having more than 5% of your overall bankroll
- The first bet should always be a one base unit
- If you lose your bet, raise the stake by one base unit, for example, if your initial stake was 5, raise it to 10 when losing.
- If you win, lower the stake by one base unit. If you win your first bet, keep the stake the same.
That is a relatively uncomplicated system, and if you manage to win roughly 50% of your bets, then you should come out of this with a profit because your winning bets will have higher stakes. The theoretical aspect seems good enough, but is it applicable to the roulette table?
Is the system successful?
You can make a short-term profit using this system, in fact, you can even win money if you have more losing bets than winning ones. For this to happen, you would need to have the right sequence, and this is where the System of D’Alembert shows its flaws. Some of the sequences could damage your bankroll quite a lot.
Losing streaks are a quite common occurrence when gambling, so you should always take them into consideration. Let see what will happen in our example where the stake is a base unit of 5:
- Stake: 5, loss. Bankroll: -5.
- Stake: 10, loss. Bankroll: -15.
- Stake: 15, loss. Bankroll: -30.
- Stake: 20, loss. Bankroll: – 50.
- Stake: 25, loss. Bankroll: -75.
- Stake: 30, loss. Bankroll: -105.
As you can see, after 6 spins, you are 21 units down. When we consider that a losing streak of six rolls is a relatively common sighting in roulette, things start to look scary. We should also consider that it could be a lot worse, and there aren’t any guarantees that you will be able to recover from such a setback. Even if your bank is huge, there may always be a moment where you will run out of money and won’t be able to make the next bet.
The main flaw of this system is that it doesn’t help you against losing many times in a row, and you will probably lose a significant amount of money. That means that the system may be profitable in the short term, but there aren’t any guarantees for its longevity.
Adjustments to the System
You can make slight tweaks to the D’Alembert System to increase the chances of making a profit, like adjusting the stakes by at least two units after each wager so that you can win more in the case of a fluctuating result, but if a bad streak is to happen, the losses will be much more.
If you want, you can set a maximum stake limit, and when it’s reached, the stake can’t be raised anymore, so you have to go back to the initial amount. That way you have an advantage against losing streaks, but it’s harder to recover from losses.
As each system for gambling, D’Alembert can have both negative and positive outcomes, depending on the circumstances, but this can also apply to standard betting. That’s why we find it difficult to recommend it to our readers.
It’s safer than the Martingale because you raise the stakes more gradually, but it’s more difficulty recovering your losses with just one successful wager. All in all, there are probably better alternatives than the D’Alembert System.